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Caroline Banton has 6+ years of experience as a writer of business and finance articles. She also writes biographies for Story Terrace. Robert Kelly is managing director of XTS Energy LLC, and has ...

For more on this topic, see the analysis of government bond ... of the recession-predicting inverted yield curve, the probability of negative rates, and the probability distribution of U.S ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

A 25bp rate cut but risks of falling behind the curve have increased US tariffs and the never-ending back-and-forth have brought back growth concerns for the eurozone, clearly offsetting previous ...